W/e 9th May 2021

OBTC
May 10, 2021

BTC: $58,288
OBTC: $26,064
VG: 7.40

Not much to add, we’re continue to consolidate in the VG ~7 to VG ~8 range, now right in the middle of it.

Things start to get interesting if we can convincingly break VG ~8. Interestingly, VG ~8 now corresponds to the prior ATH just under $65K. We’ve often looked at this as a signal where re-entering price discovery becomes feasible. Of course, over the last couple of months, we haven’t actually entered sustained price discovery, but it’s still a signal to look out for.

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OBTC

OBTC is an attempt to value BTC using on-chain activity. I’m just a bitcoin investor, not a professional quant, please do not take this conjecture too seriously